GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Index review: MSCI is out, implementation 29/5 (close)
Research evidence excerpt
Index review: MSCI is out, implementation 29/5 (close)
Equity Research - 13 May 2026 08:20 CEST
Index review: MSCI is out, implementation 29/5 Fast comment: Index research
(close)
• MSCI index review announced 12/5 after market, implementation
29/5 (close)
• Demant to stay (positive near-term), Var Energi to enter (came as a
surprise)
• MSCI Standard (large): Var Energi and Millicom to enter standard.
Holmen B to leave
MSCI: 3 standard (large cap changes)
Changes to MSCI index review (out after market close 12/5) will be
implemented after close on 29/5 (close).Var Energi and Millicom to
enter (standard/large) while Holmen B to leave. Most days to cover in
Holmen B. We recommend buying additions and selling deletions with an
exit on implementation day. On average 8% return (observation period
2011-2025).
Performance on MSCI Index Changes: small caps
On average, additions (small caps) have outperformed deletions by 8%
(period 2011-2025) from announcement date to effective date. On average
10x higher than normal volume on additions and 14x higher volume on
deletions (on implementation day).For microcaps we expect less impact &
days to cover vs. small cap changes. Days to cover range from 2 DTC to
28 DTC for standard changes. Scandi Standard and BW Energy with most
days to cover (inclusion) and Marimekko most days to cover (exclusion)
Comments on MSCI: Demant should benefit share price wise
There was some speculation on a potential exit Demant (didn't happen)
which we think could be a positive near-term share price trigger. Short
base is 26% (FF adj.) and 54 days to cover. Var Energi came in as
a surprise and should most likely outperform the energy sector until
inclusion. Finally, Norion stayed in MSCI Standard but will most likely
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