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是德科技:F3Q26回顾:AI驱动的势头持续,积压订单为FY27前景奠定良好基础
研报英文原文证据摘录
J P M O R G A N
North America Equity Research
19 August 2026
Keysight Technologies
F3Q26 Review: AI-Driven Momentum Continues as
Building Backlog Bodes Well for FY27 Outlook
Overweight
KEYS, KEYS US
Price (18 Aug 26):$341.00
▲Price Target (Dec-27):$425.00
Prior (Dec-27):$400.00
Keysight delivered another beat and guidance raise in F3Q, primarily driven by AI
infrastructure-related demand as organic revenue growth tracked well ahead of
expectations to +31% y/y and +7% q/q, driven by AI data center wireline scaling
in CSG (wireline surpassed wireless for the first time) along with strength in EISG
due to semiconductor capacity expansion (advanced nodes, HBM, silicon
photonics) and AI-linked general electronics test intensity. This helped deliver
strong upside to both gross margins, led by mix and volume, and operating
margins, led by leverage combined with opex discipline, value engineering,
synergy realization, and reduced discounting, with management expecting gross
margins to be sustainable in the upper-60% range, and expressing confidence in
outperforming its 40% leverage target at least through FY27. Importantly,
Keysight described customers as rapidly revising expectations higher, in turn
helping drive record order growth (+52% y/y organic), the conversion of which is
being gated by the broader supply chain (not tied to one single component) and
driving further expansion of the backlog. Nonetheless, as revenue growth
continues to accelerate into fiscal year-end and backlog continues to build, the
durability of multiple secular growth drivers (6G, AI, defense modernization,
rising test intensity) lining up for Keysight is becoming more evident and in our
view will likely warrant an upward revision to the long-term growth rate target of
+5%-7%. To that end, we are revising our revenue and earnings forecasts higher
on the F3Q results and guidance and we increase our December 2027 price target
to $425 (vs. $400 prior), as we continue to ascribe a premium multiple of ~27x,
justified by a secular acceleration in revenue and EPS growth.
F3Q26 (Jul-end) Results: Revenue and EPS beat, driven by broad-based
demand and continued AI wireline acceleration.…
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