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欧洲数据中心之旅:电网改革推进,本地摩擦加剧
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Not for redistribution without written consent of Morgan Stanley
M
Foundation
August 19, 2026 04:00 AM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+
Sustainability & Telecom | Europe
Arushi Agarwal, CFA
Equity Strategist
Europe’s Data Centre Journey:
Grid Reforms Advance, Local
Friction Builds
Lindsey C Zastawny
Equity Analyst
Rachel Fletcher, Ph.D.
Equity Strategist
Emmet B Kelly
Equity Analyst
European DC growth hinges on successfully navigating seven
key "gating factors" across five major markets. Our structured
framework maps the evolution of these factors using DC-related
developments as signals in each market. Our latest signals
include grid reform progress, growing brownfield investment,
and land use flexibility, rising support for moratoriums and
limited disruption from extreme weather.
M
In our forecasts, data centre (DC) capacity in Europe
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
Stephen C Byrd
Equity Analyst
Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+
Robert Pulleyn
Equity Analyst and Commodity Strategist
Morgan Stanley Europe S.E., Paris Branch+
Arthur Sitbon, CFA
Equity Analyst
nearly triples by 2030, reaching 21GW (+20%
Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+
CAGR). However, the pace and direction of growth
Marina Fuentes Juan
will depend on how successfully developers can
Research Associate
address important gating factors. We identify seven
as key – power, grid access, equipment, land, and
water needed to bring projects online, alongside
Telecommunications Services
Europe
Industry View
Attractive
rising environmental and social concerns – all of
which pose increasingly significant constraints on
project delivery and timelines.
At present, European data centre policy remains highly fragmented. To understand
how the seven factors are evolving, we built a structured framework to identify DCrelated policy and project-level developments across the above mentioned seven
key constraints in Europe's largest DC markets: the UK, Germany, France, Spain and
Ireland. We use these developments to provide a market signal on the direction of
DC growth and to determine whether our forecasts remain on track.
Exhibit 1:
European DC Development Signals
PRIMARY
Power
Grid
Equipment and
…
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