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M
Idea
August 19, 2026 03:21 AM GMT
Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts | Asia Pacific
Morgan Stanley India Company Private Limited+
Binay Singh
Equity Analyst
Research Tactical Idea
We believe the share price will rise relative to the country index over the next 60
days.
The July STR data was strong and should support outperformance for Leela stock.
On a YoY basis, India's ARR and RevPAR grew ~12.4% and 17.6%, respectively. Delhi
market (key for Leela): RevPAR growth of 26.6% YoY (two-year CAGR: 12.8%) vs.
+20.1% YoY growth in June 2026. The stock trades at F28e EV/EBITDA of 20x vs
peers in the 23x range.
We estimate that there is about an 80%+ (or "highly likely") probability for the
scenario.
Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts (LEEA.NS, THELEELA IS)
India Leisure & Lodging | India
Stock Rating
Industry View
Price target
Shr price, close (Aug 18, 2026)
52-Week Range
Sh out, dil, curr (mn)
Mkt cap, curr (mn)
EV, curr (mn)
Avg daily trading value (mn)
Overweight
Attractive
Rs600.00
Rs519.15
Rs527.00-384.50
334
Rs173,374
Rs200,052
Rs183
Estimated probabilities are illustrative and assigned subjectively based on our
assessment of the likelihood of the scenario.
Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with
companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result,
investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of
interest that could affect the objectivity of Morgan Stanley
Research. Investors should consider Morgan Stanley
Research as only a single factor in making their investment
decision.
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