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风险回报更新:波兰PKO银行 | 欧洲
研报英文原文证据摘录
Not for redistribution without written consent of Morgan Stanley
M
Update
August 18, 2026 03:48 PM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+
Bank PKO BP | Europe
Gulnara Saitkulova
Equity Analyst
Risk Reward Update
Bank PKO BP (PKO.WA, PKO PW)
What’s Changed
Banks | Poland
Bank PKO BP (PKO.WA)
From
To
Price Target
PLN 120.00
PLN 125.00
Bull Case
PLN 145.00
PLN 151.00
Base Case
PLN 120.00
PLN 125.00
Bear Case
PLN 80.00
PLN 83.00
Updated Components
EPS
Investment Thesis
Bull Base Bear Scenarios
Stock Rating
Industry View
Price target
Shr price, close (Aug 17, 2026)
52-Week Range
Fiscal Year Ending
EPS (PLN)**
Prior EPS (PLN)**
Overweight
Attractive
PLN 125.00
PLN 111.42
PLN 114.16- 67.78
12/25 12/26e 12/27e 12/28e
9.00
9.15
8.85
10.67
10.50
11.69
11.49
Unless otherwise noted, all metrics are based on Morgan Stanley ModelWare
framework
** = Based on consensus methodology
e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates
Risk Reward for Bank PKO BP (PKO.WA) has been updated
Reason for change
Following resilient Q2, we raise our core revenue forecasts by ~1% and modestly
lower our 2026 cost assumptions. Together, these changes lift our bottom-line
estimates by 2-3%. With the macro outlook remaining supportive and operating
momentum solid, we also lower our cost of equity assumption to 11.0% from 11.5%.
As the bank went ex dividend on 4th August, we deduct 2025 dividend from our
valuation. As a result, we raise our price target to PLN 125 from PLN 120 and
reiterate our Overweight rating.
Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with
companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result,
investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of
interest that could affect the objectivity of Morgan Stanley
Research. Investors should consider Morgan Stanley
Research as only a single factor in making their investment
decision.
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