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FY26 符合预期,FY27 开局强劲
研报英文原文证据摘录
Not for redistribution without written consent of Morgan Stanley
M
Update
August 17, 2026 10:51 PM GMT
Morgan Stanley Australia Limited+
Hub24 Ltd | Asia Pacific
James Bales
Equity Analyst
FY26 in line, strong start to
FY27
Edward Xu
Research Associate
Chenny Wang, CFA
Equity Analyst
AlphaSignals Earnings Reaction
Strengthens our thesis
In-line
Modest revision higher
Impact to our thesis
Financial results versus consensus
Direction of next 12-month
consensus EPS
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
Hub24 Ltd (HUB.AX, HUB AU)
Key Takeaways
At first look, HUB's FY26 result was in line with VA cons. (-0.5% at EBITDA, +3%
at EPS).
Trading update suggests 1Q26 FUA tracking ahead of Cons. at A$145.2bn.
FY28 Platform FUA Target issued at A$186-200bn, in line with Cons. at A
$195.2bn.
Reiterate Overweight.
Australia Emerging Companies | Australia
Stock Rating
Industry View
Price target
Up/downside to price target (%)
Shr price, close (Aug 17, 2026)
52-Week Range
Sh out, dil, curr (mn)
Mkt cap, curr (mn)
EV, curr (mn)
Avg daily trading value (mn)
Fiscal Year Ending
FY26 numbers - in line
Rev +23% A$501.1m (-0.3% v VA cons A$502.6m).
EBITDA (Underlying) +30% A$211.4m (-0.5% vs Cons A$212.5m), margin 42.2% v
Cons. 42.3%.
EPS +42% 166.7c (Cons of 161.5 cps).
Cash flow conversion 93% (vs. 98% in pcp).
Net cash A$41m (vs. A$85m FY25).
EPS (A$)**
Prior EPS (A$)**
Revenue, net (A$ mn)
EBITDA (A$ mn)
ModelWare net inc (A$
mn)
P/E
ROE (%)
EV/EBITDA
Div yld (%)
FCF yld ratio (%)**
Overweight
In-Line
A$121.00
40
A$86.19
A$122.03-68.70
83
A$7,155
A$7,049
A$27
06/25 06/26e 06/27e 06/28e
1.18
407
162
80
1.59
497
209
131
1.96
576
252
161
2.37
664
300
195
93.1
15.3
44.9
0.6
1.4
45.7
24.8
27.9
1.1
2.4
44.1
25.1
27.3
1.1
2.6
36.3
26.3
22.5
1.4
3.1
Unless otherwise noted, all metrics are based on Morgan Stanley ModelWare
framework
** = Based on consensus methodology
e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates
Composition
Platform: Rev +26% to A$406.9m (margin -1bps YoY to 31bps); EBITDA +31% to A
$186.7m (margins 45.9%). Total FUA 24% y/y to A$139.5bn.
Tech: Rev +9% to A$84m; EBITDA +8% to A$29.3m (margins 34.9%).
Outlook - very strong start
…
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