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Cochlear Ltd. | 亚太 FY26 业绩:初步看法
研报英文原文证据摘录
Not for redistribution without written consent of Morgan Stanley
M
Update
August 17, 2026 10:08 PM GMT
Morgan Stanley Australia Limited+
Cochlear Ltd. | Asia Pacific
David L Bailey
Equity Analyst
FY26 Result: First Take
Peter Niu
Research Associate
AlphaSignals Earnings Reaction
Unchanged
Modest upside
Largely unchanged
Impact to our thesis
Financial results versus consensus
Direction of next 12-month
consensus EPS
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
Cochlear Ltd. (COH.AX, COH AU)
Key Takeaways
Australia Healthcare | Australia
FY27 outlook: Low single-digit sales growth (CC), in line with MS/VA. Underlying
Stock Rating
Industry View
Price target
Up/downside to price target (%)
Shr price, close (Aug 17, 2026)
52-Week Range
Sh out, dil, curr (mn)
Mkt cap, curr (mn)
EV, curr (mn)
Avg daily trading value (mn)
NPAT A$330-350mn (mid-point in line with VA at A$340mn, -6% vs MS).
Fiscal Year Ending
06/25 06/26e 06/27e 06/28e
Relative to our forecasts, the key variation for FY27 guidance is a lower-than-
EPS (A$)**
Prior EPS (A$)**
EPS (A$)§
Revenue, net (A$ mn)
EBITDA (A$ mn)
ModelWare net inc (A$
mn)
P/E
ROE (%)
EV/EBITDA
Div yld (%)
FCF yld ratio (%)
Leverage (EOP) (%)
6.33
6.09
2,343
644
415
4.76
4.73
2,319
514
311
5.56
5.21
2,395
588
362
6.46
5.75
2,563
660
420
47.5
22.6
30.2
1.5
0.7
(14.1)
25.6
16.0
15.4
2.8
2.1
(3.7)
23.6
19.7
14.3
3.0
3.4
(4.5)
20.3
22.2
12.7
3.5
4.2
(4.6)
The beats: FY26 CI units +3%/+5% vs VA/MS, but with CI revenue less materially
ahead. Underlying FY26 EBIT ahead of VA/MS, with underlying NPAT +4% of VA/
MS.
The misses: Gross margin below expectations (-0.9%/-1.2% vs VA/MS), with
69.6% implied for 2H26.
expected gross margin (expected to be 70-71% vs MS at 72%).
Conference call focus: Details in relation to Nexa software updates, commentary
on operational trends in key regions, long-term margin targets.
Exhibit 1:
COH FY26 result
CI units
FY25
53,968
Actual
FY26
56,692
YoY
5%
VA
55,013
Variance
MS
54,022
VA
3%
MS
5%
Revenue
CI
Services
Acoustics
Total
1,470
609
276
2,356
1,435
635
273
2,343
-2%
4%
-1%
1,421
631
281
2,333
1,414
627
283
2,324
1%
-3%
0%
2%
1%
-3%
1%
Gross profit
…Gross margin
1,741
73.9%
1,655
70.6%
-5%
-3.2%
1,669
…
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