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联昌国际集团控股:联昌国际商业银行盈利超预期,但负面指引修正抑制前景
研报英文原文证据摘录
J P M O R G A N
Asia Pacific Equity Research
16 August 2026
CIMB Group Holdings
Niaga earnings beat, but negative guidance revisions
temper outlook
BNGA reported 2Q26 core net profit of Rp1,671bn down 5% q/q, +1% y/y, 6%
above JPMe. These numbers account for ~20% of our 2Q26E CIMB Group profits
vs. ~22% over the last four quarters. NII increased 4% q/q and 1%y/y with NIM
holding up at 3.85% (-9bps y/y, +1bps q/q; +5bps vs JPMe). Non-II beat on
sustained fee momentum led by bancassurance and transaction banking, even
though treasury declined (-41%q/q) on elevated bond yields. Costs declined 2%q/
q,+12%y/y, driven by one-off tax and audit adjustments, while personnel costs
remained contained. Asset quality was resilient with NPL/LAR improving to
1.83%/6.4%. However, the bank booked higher gross/net credit costs at 116/64 bps
(vs 68/32 bps in 1Q26), largely due to an accounting change that reclassified
repossessed vehicles from inventory (foreclosed properties) into loans. This drove
~Rp420bn (0.2% of loans) of write-offs for exposures which were more
than 180dpd. Management expects to recognize these as recoveries with a ~12M
lag. Further, the bank built additional overlays citing a cautious macro outlook.
Coverage came off by 22.9%q/q to 150% on repayments/recoveries and timing
distortions, which should normalize in 3Q.
Neutral
CIMB.KL, CIMB MK
Price (14 Aug 26):RM7.95
Price Target (Jun-27):RM8.00
APAC Banks
Harsh Wardhan Modi AC
(65) 6882-2450
J.P. Morgan Securities Singapore Private Limited/
J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited/ J.P.
Morgan Broking (Hong Kong) Limited
Daniel Andrew Tan, CFA
(63-2) 8554-2413
J.P. Morgan Securities Philippines, Inc.
Yen Voo, CFA, CA
(60-3) 2718 0914
JPMorgan Securities (Malaysia) Sdn. Bhd. (18146X)
While 2Q PPoP trends were resilient, we remain cautious due to guidance cuts by
management (NIM guidance cut by 10bps to 3.8-4.0%; provisions increased by
20-30bps to 1.1-1.4%). LDR increased by 139bps q/q to 91.8% (above comfort
range of 86–90%), which could weigh on NIM going forward, especially given the
mix shift towards higher-quality borrowers and a challenging funding backdrop in
2H26.…
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