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发布日期: 2026-08-14研究机构: JPMorgan报告页数: 9原文语言: English

研报英文原文证据摘录

J P M O R G A N

Global Economic Research

14 August 2026

Daily Financial Markets Monitor

Global stocks were little changed. US shares retreated 0.1%, while those in the

Euro area fell 0.2%. Japanese equities moved up 0.6%. Stocks in emerging

markets were unchanged on net.

The 5-year Treasury yield added 4bp to 4.35%. Meanwhile, both the 10-year

and 30-year yields added 4bp to 4.68% and 5.26%, respectively.

The price of Brent crude oil moved up 1.7% to $88.58/bbl.

The trade-weighted dollar moved down 0.2% today. Meanwhile, the yen was

unchanged and the euro strengthened 0.3%.

Global equities

J.P.Morgan Global Economic Activity Surprise Index

Index

325

Index

40

30

275

20

225

10

0

175

-10

125

-20

75

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

-30

26

16

17

18

Source: J.P. Morgan

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

Government Debt

US Treasury yields

US Treasuries yield curve

Percent per annum; both scales

Yield curves: %.p.a.

5.3

4.8

4.3

3.8

3.3

2.8

2.3

1.8

1.3

0.8

0.3

5.5

5.0

4.5

4.0

3.5

3.0

2.5

2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

0.0

10-year

2-year

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

UK

3.0

3.2

6.0

2.4

5.0

1.6

0.8

Germany

16

4.0

3m

2yr

5yr

10yr

30yr

Percent per annum, over 10-year German bund

Japan

14

5.0

European 10-year sovereign bond yields over 10-year German bunds

Percent per annum; both scales

12

5.0

4.0

3.0

2.0

1.0

0.0

-1.0

-2.0

-3.0

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

10-year sovereign debt yields

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

-1

t-1y

Current

Bars: 1-day ch; bps

6.0

1m

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

t-2y

t-6m

18

20

22

24

Spain

4.0

Italy

3.0

2.0

0.0

1.0

-0.8

0.0

France

12

26

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

Global Credit and Money Markets

Euro area financials CDS spread

US fixed bank CP/CD minus US generic government 3-month yield

bp

325

bps

150

275

125

225

100

175

75

50

125

25

75

0

25

12

14

16

18

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

20

22

24

26

-25

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

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