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Earnings Season Monitor – Up, Up and Away
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Idea
August 7, 2026 03:45 PM GMT
European Equity Strategy | Europe
Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+
Regiane Yamanari
Equity Strategist
Earnings Season Monitor – Up,
Up and Away
Marina Zavolock
Equity Strategist
Leoni Externest, CFA
Equity Strategist
With c.94% of market cap reported, Europe is closing out its
strongest earnings season in years: net weighted skew to beats
at +48% & +23% to NTM EPS upgrades. Strength has been
broad-based, and consensus continues to move higher – 2026
Europe EPS growth is now 17.8%, ex-Energy at 14.0%.
Key Takeaways
The strongest season in years. Our analysts' reaction to earnings data shows a
Morgan Stanley India Company Private Limited+
Jitiksha Shah
Equity Strategist
Karthik Nityanand
Strategist
Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+
Emily A Woods
Equity Strategist
+48% net weighted skew to beats (vs +26% in 1Q) & +23% to NTM EPS
consensus upgrades post results (vs +6%).
Exhibit 7 : Semis, Aerospace, Cap Goods &
At the sector level, Semis, Food & Bev, Div Fins & Aerospace have led the net
Banks lead on earnings revisions breadth
skew to beats and positive guidance, with the overall skew positive across most
European Sectors FY2 Earnings Revision Ratio (FFMCap Weighted)
sectors.
Consensus continues to move higher. 2026 Europe EPS growth is now 17.8%,
with ex-Energy at 14.0%. Semis, Banks, Cap Goods and Aerospace are among the
leaders on revisions breadth.
The positive skew to beats and NTM EPS upgrades still lags the US, but by
significantly less than in prior seasons. Earnings revisions breadth has also
strengthened, with the US only modestly ahead of Europe.
Lists based on management sentiment score change inside (Exhibits 33 & 34 ) –
Semis & Equip
Aerospace
Cap Goods
Banks
Chemicals
Luxury
Div Fins
Utilities
Tech H/W
Life Sciences
Food & Bev
Energy
Real Estate
HPC
Tobacco
Transport
Defence
Construction
Pharma
Discret. Retail
Bus. Svcs
Telecoms
Insurance
Travel & Leisure
M&M
Autos
Medtech
Media & Ent.
Food Retail
Software & Svcs
P&P
Europe
OW
-80 -70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0
EW
UW
Note: Based on 45D consensus window; Source: LSEG Data & Analytics,
…
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