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Century Pacific Foods, Inc: First Take: Pricing Power and Resilient Demand Keep the Pantry Stocked, In-Line 2Q26 results
研报英文原文证据摘录
J P M O R G A N
Asia Pacific Equity Research
06 August 2026
Century Pacific Foods, Inc
First Take: Pricing Power and Resilient Demand Keep
the Pantry Stocked, In-Line 2Q26 results
Our First Take: CNPF disclosed a 2Q26 core net income of Php2.2bn (+11% y/y,
6% q/q), bringing 1H26 figure to Php4.3bn or up by 11% y/y. The core net income
is without the one-off provision made for the earthquake-related inventory losses
and facility damage subject to insurance claims. The 2Q26 results are in line with
Street FY26E at 57% but ahead of JPMe’s (61%) more conservative forecast. The
variance was driven by better-than-expected GPM and OPM delivery, supported
by pricing actions in May (+4-5%) and sustained mid-teens topline growth. CNPF
is optimistic that it can meet its full-year FY26E targets of low to mid-teens topline
growth and low DD core net income growth.
Overweight
CNPF.PS, CNPF PM
Price (06 Aug 26):Php32.10
Price Target (Jun-27):Php35.50
Strategy, Real Estate, Consumer,
and Conglomerates
Jeanette Yutan AC
(63-2) 8878-1188
Key Positives
Consumer Staples
Revenue growth momentum carried into 2Q26. CNPF consolidated revenues
grew by 15.5% y/y to Php22.8bn, bringing 1H26 to Php45.8bn or +15% y/y.
Branded segment revenue growth accelerated to 14% y/y in 2Q26 from 11% y/y
due to the 4-5% price hikes in May and DD volume growth. Milk and Other
Emerging segments led the growth with high teens growth. Milk market share
improved by 50bps from end-2025 to end-June 2026 as Birch Tree benefited from
consumer downtrading. OEM revenue recovery continued in 2Q26 with a 21% y/y
growth, albeit slower sequentially due to the earthquake impact; the growth was
supported by mid-20% coconut revenue growth.
Nadine Bautista, CFA
(63-2) 8554-2478
J.P. Morgan Securities Philippines, Inc.
GPM finally expanded in 1Q26 by 146bps y/y to 26.7%, halting the four
consecutive quarters of compression. 1H26 GPM stood at 25.9%, slightly better
than 1H25’s 25.7%. The drivers were the 4-5% pricing actions taken in May, and
sustained mid-teens topline growth. Impact of the weaker PHP was also mitigated
by the high 20s revenue growth in OEM. CNPF also benefited from its aggressive
…
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