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Howmet Aerospace: First Look at Q2 Earnings
研报英文原文证据摘录
J P M O R G A N
North America Equity Research
06 August 2026
Howmet Aerospace
First Look at Q2 Earnings
Overweight
HWM, HWM US
Price (05 Aug 26):$291.42
Aerospace & Defense
A standout quarter in Engine Products drove strong results at HWM in Q2, while
mgmt’s increase to sales, adj EBITDA, and adj EPS guidance for Q3 and 2026 are
ahead of consensus. As expected, new capacity in Engines is driving material Aero
growth and mgmt also highlighted that demand in the gas turbines market is
“extraordinary”. A higher capex outlook (FCF is up too, though) points to further
investments in these end markets, and HWM continues to demonstrate a superior
ability to generate returns on these investments. Please see our variance table
below.
Seth M. Seifman, CFA AC
Engine Products drove Q2 strength. Top-line beat us by 6%, driven by
Forged Wheels and Engine Products at +9% and +7% ahead, respectively;
Fasteners and Structures saw more modest upside at+3% each. Q2 adj
EBITDA margin of 32.1% was in line but featured Engine Products results that
were 100 bps higher than we expected at 37.7%, despite growing net headcount
by 485, the highest quarterly add since 1Q25. Within Engine Products, Comm’l
Aero sales were up 10% sequentially, thanks in part to new capacity. Gas
Turbines were up 13% sequentially despite concerns that Howmet was
bumping up against capacity constraints in this end market pending the
addition of new capacity later this year. The margin offset was primarily from
Forged Wheels, where pass-throughs diminish the importance of margin rate
as a key metric. We model this segment to adj EBITDA dollars and Q2 was in
line, with volumes starting to show sequential improvement following a period
of weak demand.
Jamie Simonson
Another big increase to guidance. HWM’s Q3 guidance for $2.575b of sales,
$830m of adj EBITDA, and $1.35 of EPS is ahead of consensus by 4%, 6%,
and 9c, respectively. For the full-year, the sales guidance is up $400m to
$10.05b, adj EBITDA is up $170m to $3.23b, and adj EPS is up 33c to $5.27.
Despite the big increase to guidance, after reporting a 1H adj EBITDA margin
of 32.0%, the implication is for minimal margin expansion in reaching mgmt’s
…
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