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Yes Bank: NII in-line, PAT beat on higher non-interest income; RoA trajectory positive but priced-in
研报英文原文证据摘录
J P M O R G A N
Asia Pacific Equity Research
05 August 2026
Yes Bank
Underweight
NII in-line, PAT beat on higher non-interest income; RoA
trajectory positive but priced-in
YESB.NS, YES IN
Price (04 Aug 26):Rs23.00
▲Price Target (Sep-27):Rs21.00
Prior (Sep-27):Rs20.00
We are updating our model following 1QFY27 results. PAT beat JPMe by 11%,
however NII was in-line and the PAT beat was driven by Non-II, which tends to be
volatile. Deposit growth continued to lag loan growth.
Yes Bank’s 1Q NII at Rs 27.9bn (+17% y/y, +6% q/q) came in in-line with
JPMe. NIM (on IEAs) improved 3bps q/q and 3bps higher vs JPMe. PPOP at
Rs 17.04bn (+25% y/y, +5% q/q) was 13% higher vs JPMe, supported by higher
non-interest income (+15% vs JPMe). The PPOP beat more than offet the miss
in loan loss provisions, which at Rs 3.9bn (+39% y/y, +110% qoq) came in
higher vs JPMe, due to significantly lower P&L Gains from Security Receipts
portfolio, with PAT of Rs 10.7bn (+34% y/y, flat q/q) coming in 11% above
JPMe.
Overall, AQ trends were positive with retail slippages declining to a 10-quarter
low of 2.7% of Advances (vs 2.8% of Advances in Q4FY26) and GNPA stable
q/q at 1.3%). Opex growth of 4% y/y was well-controlled, with 62.8% CIR. The
18.3% growth in advances was healthy and beat JPMe, while deposit growth
lagged loan growth and JPMe.
Funding and franchise updates included improving granularity (retail and
branch-led deposits near 60% of total deposits) and momentum in FCNR
where demand is strong; on FCNR leverage, management said it is currently
capped at 9x and growth depends on counterparty limits from partner banks.
Yes Bank is moving in the right direction on RoA trajectory (FY RoA guidance
of 1%), but valuation at 1.2x FY28E P/B already prices in much of the
improvement hereon, in our view.
We are revising our FY27/28/29 PAT estimates by +10%/+3%/-1%,
respectively, driven by higher loan growth forecasts. We also change our GGM
assumptions – with a COE of 12.9% (vs 12.7% previously), and stage 1/2 ROE
of 9.9%/11.7% (vs. 9.6%/12.2%). We increase our Sep-27 PT to Rs 21
(previously Rs 20) as a result of these changes. Maintain UW.
India Financials
Anuj Singla AC
(91-22) 6157-3590
…
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