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Nomura Holdings (8604): 1Q results: Some results seem a bit too good, but strong results supported by good business environment
研报英文原文证据摘录
Nomura Holdings (8604): 1Q results: Some results seem a bit too good, but strong results supported by good business environment
J P M O R G A N Asia Pacific Equity Research
29 July 2026
Nomura Holdings (8604)
1Q results: Some results seem a bit too good, but Overweight
strong results supported by good business 8604.T, 8604 JP
environment Price (29 Jul 26):¥1,573
Price Target (Dec-26):¥1,680
Positive: Nomura Holdings’ 1Q FY2026 net profit of ¥145.6 billion was well Japan Equity Research
above our estimate of ¥111.6 billion and the Bloomberg consensus estimate of
Insurance, Securities, Diversified
¥111.5 billion. Annualized ROE was also high at 15.4%. We think 1Q trends are Financials
unlikely to persist without any changes, given a pullback in equity income since AC Koki Sato
July due to a market correction and seasonal factors and a prospective full-year
(81-3) 6736-8609
increase in performance-based compensation. However, we think 1Q results were koki.sato@jpmorgan.com
strong, supported by a good business environment. Yuka Azami
• Overview of pretax profit in main segments: (1) The wealth management (81-3)yuka.azami@jpmorgan.com6736-8619
segment grew 16% QoQ to ¥71.1 billion (our estimate: ¥54.1 billion). Flow JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd.
revenue surpassed our estimates by more than 10% on strong stock trading and
investment trust sales. Recurring revenue also remained strong, and combined
with effective cost control, the segment pretax profit margin improved to 49%
(versus 42% in full-year FY2025). (2) The investment management segment
grew 148% QoQ to ¥45.0 billion (our estimate: ¥23.0 billion). High QoQ
growth was due to the dropout of impairment losses on equity interest in a
forestry asset management business in 4Q FY2025 and growth in income
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