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Yifeng Pharmacy 2Q26F preview and FY26F forecast revisions
研报英文原文证据摘录
Yifeng Pharmacy 2Q26F preview and FY26F forecast revisions
Global Markets Research
Yifeng Pharmacy 603939.SS 603939 CH 31 July 2026
EQUITY: HEALTH CARE & PHARMACEUTICALS
Rating2Q26F preview and FY26F forecast revisions Remains Buy
Target priceWe expect stable operation in 2Q26F despite some policy Reduced from CNY 33.97headwinds CNY 35.50
We estimate 2Q26F sales/net profit edged up 6%/2% y-y Closing30 July 2026price CNY 22.70
We estimate Yifeng’s 2Q26F revenue rose 6% y-y (vs 1% y-y in 1Q26) to CNY6.0bn
(lower than the Bloomberg consensus estimate of CNY6.5bn), on the assumption of store Implied upside +49.6%
addition pick up: opened 217 pharmacy stores (56/161 through self-build/franchise, vs
28/114 in 1Q26), but closed 38 (vs 30 in 1Q26) stores. By segment, we estimate Market Cap (USD mn) 4,072.9
retail/wholesale revenue recorded 4%/15% y-y growth to CNY5.2bn/686mn in 2Q26F. ADT (USD mn) 40.8
For margins in 2Q26F, we forecast gross margin of 39.9% (-1.4pp y-y, yet on par with
Relative performance chart1Q26’s) and a lower opex ratio of 28.9% (-1.4pp y-y), led by enhanced operating
efficiency. Together with a lower other income and higher minority interest, we expect that
2Q26F net profit to shareholders came in at CNY439mn (+2% y-y).
For 2H26F, we forecast Yifeng’s topline registered growth of 10% y-y to CNY14bn, of
which retail/wholesale revenue book 11%/5% y-y growth to CNY12.3bn/1.3bn, on the
back of stable store expansion. Together with our higher gross margin and flat opex ratio
estimates, we estimate net profit to shareholders rose 20% y-y to CNY959mn in 2H26F,
from a low 2H25 base.
Retail sales of pharmaceutical products rose 3.3% y-y in 1H26
According to the National Bureau of Statistics, pharmaceutical products rose 3.3% y-y in
1H26.
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