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2Q26: Minor positives outweigh renewal prices
研报英文原文证据摘录
2Q26: Minor positives outweigh renewal prices
Global Research
30 July 2026ab
First Read
EquitiesScor
2Q26: Minor positives outweigh renewal prices France
Insurance, Full-Line
12-month rating Neutral
Q: How did the results compare versus expectations?
A: Overall: With the negative news already announced (provision uplift and option 12m price target €33.00
loss), the incremental news today has more positives than negatives, though reasonably
limited in quantum. The headline net income beat of €171mn is €12mn ahead of UBSe
Price (29 Jul 2026) €33.42
and c.€20mn above cons. The strength is in the P&C margin, and with the buffer build
seemingly aligned with UBSe, it is an attritional beat to us (could be light man-made) and RIC: SCOR.PA BBG: SCR FP
aligned with cons. Other areas of minor strength include CSM and Solvency which could Trading data and key metrics
raise capital distribution hope, albeit too early in our view. While the June/July renewal
52-wk range €33.98-25.60
could be construed positively given better premium growth, this has been achieved at a
Market cap. €5.99b/US$6.87b
weaker price than UBSe. Detail: 1. P&C: P&C ISR of €269m beat cons. €248m. While
Shares o/s 179m (ORD)
gross revenue missed cons. by -2% (net missed UBSe by -3%), CoR of 79.5% beat cons.
by 1.8ppts helped by 1.5ppts lower Nat Cat & 0.2ppts higher discounting. Excluding Free float 98%
these impacts, the CoR was 0.1ppts better than cons., which we note was achieved with Avg. daily volume ('000) 496
opportunistic prudence building. UBSe the buffer build is mid to high SD of CoR, c. Avg. daily value (m) €15.7
€100mn, in line with UBSe, therefore noting an attritional beat, which could be Common s/h equity (12/26E) €4.67b
explained by lighter man-made losses. 2. Life: ISR of €49m beat cons.
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