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Gildan Activewear Inc: A Top Buy Idea; Reiterate Buy Rating
研报英文原文证据摘录
Gildan Activewear Inc: A Top Buy Idea; Reiterate Buy Rating
thesis.
12/26E
From To % ch Cons.
Four 2Q26 report learnings giving us more Buy rating conviction: Q1 0.43 0.43 0 0.43
1. We continue to see a clear path to earnings growth beyond FY26. While GIL Q2 1.14 1.28 12 1.11
raised FY26 guidance, we see 20+% growth on top of this base next year. We Q3E 1.36 1.47 8 1.34
think the combination of ongoing share gains, additional HanesBrands synergies, Q4E 1.47 1.57 7 1.40
the recurring CAFTA-DR tariff benefit, and lower interest expense support further 12/26E 4.40 4.75 8 4.29
EPS growth into FY27 and beyond. We model an ~18% EPS CAGR from FY25- 12/27E 5.90 6.35 8 5.34
FY30. 12/28E 6.45 6.95 8 6.28
2. The HanesBrands acquisition is increasingly shifting from an integration Jay Sole
Analyst story to an earnings story. With the first wave of synergies largely realized, we
jay.sole@ubs.com
believe investor focus should increasingly shift toward the next ~$100M of +1-212-713 3559
synergies in FY27. Combined with more synergies in FY28 and GIL's sourcing
investments paying off, we see a credible path to further margin expansion in Mauricio Serna, CFA
Analyst FY28 and beyond.
mauricio.serna@ubs.com
3. We see another lever of EPS growth commencing soon GIL moves toward +1-212-713 9028
its leverage target and resumes share repurchases. The announced sale of Natalie Koltermann
HanesBrands Australia, valued at approximately US$490M and expected to close Associate Analyst
in 2H26, combined with roughly $1B of FY26 free cash flow generation, should natalie.koltermann@ubs.com
accelerate deleveraging and reduce interest expense. By EOY, we believe +1-212-713 4229
management will achieve its leverage objectives, allowing capital allocation to
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