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India Equity Strategy: July 2026 wrap: Second consecutive month of outperformance, despite global cross-currents
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India Equity Strategy: July 2026 wrap: Second consecutive month of outperformance, despite global cross-currents
J P M O R G A N Global Markets Strategy
31 July 2026
India Equity Strategy
July 2026 wrap: Second consecutive month of
outperformance, despite global cross-currents
• MSCI India ($ index) rose 1.5% in July, outperforming MSCI APxJ/EM Equity Macro Research
AC indices by 3.1%/3.9%. Performance was driven by a rotation into India due Rajiv Batra
to the global AI de-risking phase, pockets of better-than-feared earnings (65) 6882-8151
delivery and upbeat economic indicators (see below). However, the drag on rajiv.j.batra@jpmorgan.com
performance came from uncertainty around Fed communication, which kept J.P. Morgan Securities Singapore Private Limited
global risk appetite choppy, crude staying elevated and volatile (with Middle Rushit Mehta AC
East tensions flaring up again), and INR staying near the weaker end, which (9122) 6157-3711
rushit.mehta@jpmchase.com
kept imported-inflation and margin concerns alive. Large-caps rose 2.1%, J.P. Morgan India Private Limited, J.P. Morgan
outperforming small-/mid-caps by 1.0%/1.2%. Nifty 50 rose 2.2% and ended Tower, Santacruz(E), Mumbai - 400098, SEBI
Registration: INH000001873, (91-22) 6157-3000.
July at 24,384.
• MSCI India (INR) was up 2.3% in July. IT (15.3%), Real Estate (+8.3%) and
Discretionary (+7.5%) were the top-performing sectors, while Industrials (- Figure 2: MSCI India ($) relative to EM and
3.8%) and Utilities (-1.9%) were the worst-performing sectors. See pages 8-13 APxJ
for more sector updates. The INR depreciated 0.8% in July, ending July at 110
95.39/USD. 105100
85• FIIs return in July. After four consecutive months of selling, FIIs bought 90
Indian equities worth $2.3bn (selling of $3.0bn in June).
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