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Colliers International Group Inc.: Transactional Businesses Drive 2Q Beat; IM Margin Pressure Until ‘27, But Capital Raising On Track; Guidance Maintained
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Colliers International Group Inc.: Transactional Businesses Drive 2Q Beat; IM Margin Pressure Until ‘27, But Capital Raising On Track; Guidance Maintained
~15% capital markets growth; this compares to our
+5% y/y and +10% y/y assumptions, respectively. The full year guidance remains at low
teens revenue growth with net EBITDA margins expected to be “up modestly,” which
compares to our 9% y/y revenue growth and 60bp margin expansion forecast.
• Engineering: Segment beats on top and bottom line. CIGI reported net revenue of
$359 million ( +28% y/y) for its Engineering segment, better than JPMe of $344 million
(+22% y/y). The segment was driven by outsized growth in critical infrastructure and
technical consulting services. Much of the revenue growth in the quarter can be attributed
to the Ayesa acquisition. Though, internal growth in the segment was at +5% YTD and
seems to be tracking with previous management comments. Management commented
that AI disintermediation of scaled players is unlikely, but smaller player
disintermediation is still possible. Such risk has made for better/lower valuations on
engineering acquisition targets.
Adj. EBITDA was $52 million (+28% y/y and vs. JPMe of +20% y/y) and Adj. EBITDA
margin of 14.5% was slightly better than JPMe of 14.2%. Adj. EBITDA incremental
margins were 14.8%, higher than JPMe of 13.3%. The margin expansion is best attributed
to Ayesa’s higher margin profile.
For the segment, it maintained its guide of +25% net revenue growth (vs. JPMe at +27%
y/y), with EBITDA margins “expected to increase” (vs. JPMe up 140bps y/y).
• Investment Management: Segment in line with expectations; Harrison Street
integration continues and will weigh on margins the rest of 2026. CIGI reported net
revenue of $135 million (+15% y/y and vs.
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