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Top-line beat drives earnings Quick Note
研报英文原文证据摘录
Top-line beat drives earnings Quick Note
Nomura Securities Malaysia Sdn Bhd
Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur ICBP.JK ICBP IJ 29 July 2026
EQUITY: FOOD & BEVERAGE
RatingTop-line beat drives earnings Remains Buy
Target price IDR 14,500 RemainsQuick Note
Closing price IDR 6,950 28 July 2026Revenue outperforms
We expect Indofood CBP to record mid-teens revenue growth in 2Q26F, beating market
expectations, on the back of: 1) the strong demand in Pinehill (unlisted, a subsidiary of
ICBP) region post-Ramadhan – Pinehill also gains market share underpinned by Research Analysts
manufacturing proximity and extensive distribution network, supporting the company in Indonesia Research Team
sustaining product availability, while its competitors (mostly imported products) are facing Heng Siong Kong - NSM
difficulty in entering the market amid the Middle East war; 2) demand from the free meal hengsiong.kong@nomura.com
program should boost ICBP’s liquid milk sales; and 3) low base effect given the +603 2027 6894
government’s expenditure cut last year. Note that growth in 1H was mostly driven by
Onshore expert
volume. In 2H26F, we continue to believe Pinehill will be the main growth driver, while the
free meal program would strengthen Indonesia’s consumption, especially toward liquid Sandy Ham (sandy.ham@verdhana.id),
milk products despite the budget cut. We believe that in order to fulfil dairy consumption
Samuel Christian
demand, products for free meal kitchens should be procured from existing manufacturers.
(samuel.christian@verdhana.id),
On top of that, we believe 2H should deliver higher sales due to earlier stocking activities
in 4Q in anticipation of an early 2027 Lebaran season. Jody Wijaya (jody.wijaya@verdhana.id),
Volume over margin strategy and
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