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Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc: 2Q26 Preview: Amtagvi Revenue Likely In-Line w/ Increased Infusions and Improved Attrition Rates & Gross Margin
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Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc: 2Q26 Preview: Amtagvi Revenue Likely In-Line w/ Increased Infusions and Improved Attrition Rates & Gross Margin
estimate ~$312M in Amtagvi revenue (29% y/y growth) and $359 total revenue
(vs. $350-370M guidance). In our discussion, mgmt reiterated expectations for
improved demand from increased education and community initiatives.
Additionally, we expect more ATC activations as mgmt noted expectations for
~110 in 2026 vs. ~90 as of 1Q26 (Figure 3AmtagviOnboardedATCs). Improved manufacturing and ATC
performances are supported by positive trends in q/q scrap costs (Figure 4NotableExpenseandCostTrendsSinceAmtagviLaunch). While
community ATCs are likely to have a slower ramp, mgmt noted they are beginning
to see uptake and volume should be higher than academic ATCs at peak due to
strong referral networks (Figure 3AmtagviOnboardedATCs). Despite this, we remain conservative in our
estimates until we see indicators of growth acceleration.
Additional Things to Listen for on the Earnings Call:
Key ATC Metrics: Updates on ATC performance metrics, including patient
enrollment numbers, drop off rates, surgery success rates, and scrap costs. We'll
also look for commentary on any ATC logistic and workflow improvements.
New ATC launches: Updates on the number of newly activated ATCs and initial
launch performances. This include community ATCs, although we believe the
ramp could be slow as mgmt suggested operational bottlenecks can particularly
impact community sites, as they are building infrastructure for the first time vs.
large academic centers.
Proleukin Sales: Guidance implies ~$7M in Proleukin sales vs. $7.8/8.3M (UBSe/
cons). Mgmt indicated that Proleukin sales will follow a similar cadence to prior
quarters with some lumpiness.
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