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Equity Snap: Endesa (ELE SM): 2026 guidance upgraded on strong H1 2026
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Equity Snap: Endesa (ELE SM): 2026 guidance upgraded on strong H1 2026
29 July 2026
Equity Snap: Endesa (ELE SM) Equities Electric Utilities
2026 guidance upgraded on strong H1 2026 Spain
◆ 1H2026 results above expectations, mainly driven by strong Meike Becker*
performance in retail business Senior Global Utilities & Renewables Analyst HSBC Bank plc
meike.becker@hsbc.com
◆ Endesa upgrades 2026 net income guidance from +44 20 7991 6441
EUR2.3bn-2.4bn to more than EUR2.4bn Charles Swabey*
Global Utilities & Renewables Analyst
HSBC Bank plc
charles.swabey@hsbc.com
Endesa (ELE SM, EUR40.25, Hold, TP EUR38.40) +44 20 3268 3954
(Priced as of 28 Jul 2026)
Chandrahasan S*
Associate
1H2026: Beat versus expectations. Endesa reported 1H26 EBITDA of EUR3.240m Bangalore
which is above our as well as market expectations. The beat versus our numbers
was driven by stronger-than-expected results in retail business, while networks and * Employed by a non-US affiliate of HSBC Securities (USA) Inc, and is
renewables were slightly below our forecasts. Net profit came in at EUR1,470m not registered/ qualified pursuant to FINRA regulations
ahead of expectations (+9% vs HSBC and +7% vs consensus) due to the EBITDA
beat and lower financial expenses.
Outlook: With Endesa achieving over 60% of its FY EPS guidance in H1, the
company upgraded FY 2026 net income guidance from a range of EUR2.3bn-2.4bn
to more than EUR2.4bn, driven by strong H1 and positive non-recurring items.
Networks reported EBITDA of EUR1,167m implying c24% increase versus 1H2025,
mainly driven by new regulatory framework and previous year resettlements (in Q1).
Generation & Supply reported EBITDA of EUR2,073m, above our forecast.
◆ Retail & Endesa X EBITDA at EUR783m was significantly above our
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