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Mineral Resources Ltd.: 4Q26 First Take: Strong 4Q with FY26 guidance achieved or exceeded across each division
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Mineral Resources Ltd.: 4Q26 First Take: Strong 4Q with FY26 guidance achieved or exceeded across each division
J P M O R G A N Asia Pacific Equity Research
29 July 2026
Mineral Resources Ltd. Not Rated
MIN.AX, MIN AU
4Q26 First Take: Strong 4Q with FY26 guidance Price (28 Jul 26):A$53.10
achieved or exceeded across each division
Key takeaways: (1) Mining Services volumes of 94Mt were +22% vs JPMe
(77Mt) and above the upgraded guidance range (320-330Mt). (2) Iron Ore
attributable shipments of 8.4Mt was +14% vs JPMe (7.3Mt) primarily driven by
stronger Onslow volumes (above FY26 guidance). The achieved price of US$87/t
was marginally below JPMe. (3) Lithium volumes ahead of FY26 guidance with
costs at the lower end of the range. Mt. Marion SC6 shipments of 67k dmt was
+22% vs JPMe with realised pricing 4% ahead of our estimate. Wodgina SC6 Australia
shipments of 91k dmt was +54% vs JPMe with realised pricing in-line. Net debt Head of Australia Metals & Mining
reduced to A$4.3bn (JPMe A$4.76bn) supported by favourable FX and higher AC Lyndon Fagan
sales. We are Not Rated on MIN.
(61-2) 9003-8648
• Key positives. FY26 volume and cost guidance was achieved or exceeded lyndon.fagan@jpmorgan.comJ.P. Morgan Securities Australia Limited
across all business segments. Net debt continues to reduce with ND/EBITDA
Jonathon Sharp
now <2.0x (referencing last published JPMe EBITDA of A$2.28bn).
(61 2) 9003-8312
• Key negatives. Iron ore realised pricing was marginally weaker than JPMe jonathon.sharp@jpmorgan.com
(US$87/t vs US$89/t) implying an 81% realisation of the 62% CFR index. J.P. Morgan Securities Australia Limited
Pilbara Hub unit costs were towards the upper end of the guidance range (A Branko Skocic
$79/t vs A$75-80/t) despite volumes coming in at the upper end of the range.
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