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European Refining & Biofuels: First break in seven-week uninterrupted rally – Weekly margins tracker
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European Refining & Biofuels: First break in seven-week uninterrupted rally – Weekly margins tracker
Global Research
27 July 2026ab
European Refining & Biofuels Equities
Europe including UKFirst break in seven-week uninterrupted rally –
Weekly margins tracker Oil Companies, Secondary
Anna Kishmariya
Analyst
anna.kishmariya@ubs.com
Refining margins keep climbing up to new highs +44-20-7568 7999
Refining margins posted a first w/w decline after the seven-week uninterrupted rally. Henri Patricot, CFA
The move down was primarily driven by Dated Brent increase of ~$12/bbl w/w while Analyst
products markets remain very tight. The European composite refining margin per our henri.patricot@ubs.com
tracker decreased by $3.93/bbl w/w to $36.91/bbl. The largest moves down were seen +33-14-888 3033
in fuel oils, LPG and gasoline. Gasoline margins in particular were down by $6.8/bbl to Joshua Stone
$39.56/bbl. Middles distillates margins remained very strong, with diesel margins down Analyst
only $1.2/bbl to $70.0/bbl. 3QTD composite margin has averaged $37.1/bbl vs. UBSe joshua.stone@ubs.com
$24.6/bbl. Please note that last week we updated our supply/demand balances and +44-20-7901 5588
increased our refining margins estimates for 2H26 and 2027-2028 (see our note). Nayoung Kim
Neste's renewable margin moves up w/w nayoung.kim@ubs.com
Neste's Renewable Product (RP) margin increased w/w: +$71/t to $1,206/t amid higher +44-20-7568 4010
diesel prices in Europe and the US. The European spot margin also moved up: +$122/t to Ellinor Cederstroem Palliotto
$1,041/t. Neste's RP margin 3QTD has averaged $1,097/t vs. UBSe $995/t and $941/t Associate Analyst
VA cons. Last week Neste published 2Q results, see our review note. ellinor-cederstroem.palliotto@ubs.com
+44-20-7567 1823
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