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Progress, but proof points still pending
研报英文原文证据摘录
Progress, but proof points still pending
IdeaM
RiskRisk RewardReward– Navitas- SemiconductorNavitas SemiconductorCorp (NVTS.O) Corp (NVTS.O)
WBG market increasingly more competitive
PRICE TARGET $12.60 UNDERWEIGHT THESIS
We value Navitas on 40x CY2027 revenue, a premium to SMID cap GaN peers to reflect ▪The GaN market is increasingly looking
800V optionality. more competitive, with STMicro, Infineon,
and Renesas all making inroads into GaN via $14.46
acquisitions and partnerships. While these
Consensus Price Target Distribution $8.00 $21.00 larger players may expedite the adoption of
MS PT
GaN in markets outside smartphoneSource: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research Mean Morgan Stanley Estimates chargers and expand the TAM, we expect
these opportunities to be captured by more
established power semi providers rather
RISK REWARD CHART than Navitas given their supply assurance
and automotive qualification experience.
800V AI server racks are an USD ▪NVDA's
enticing opportunity, but given competition
and timeline, we think it is too early to fully
price in this opportunity.
$20.90$20.90(+83.17%)$20.90(+83.17%)(+83.17%) Consensus Rating Distribution
25% Overweight
63% Equal-weight
16 13% Underweight
$11.41$11.41$11.41 $12.60$12.60(+10.43%)$12.60(+10.43%)(+10.43%) MS Rating
8 Source: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research
$6.30$6.30(-44.79%)$6.30(-44.79%)(-44.79%)
0 Risk Reward Themes
JUL '25 JAN '26 JUL '26 JUL '27
Special Situation: Positive
Key: Historical Stock Performance Current Stock Price Price Target Technology Diffusion: Positive
View descriptions of Risk Rewards Themes hereSource: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research
BULL CASE $20.90 BASE CASE $12.60 BEAR CASE $6.30
60x CY2027 revenue of $81.9mn 40x CY2027 revenue of $68.2mn 20x CY2027 revenue of $54.6mn
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