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PICC P&C (2328.HK) Mgmt Update: 1H26E Premium Growth Positive and CoR Further Enhanced; Non-auto Commission Rationalization Has Legs
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PICC P&C (2328.HK) Mgmt Update: 1H26E Premium Growth Positive and CoR Further Enhanced; Non-auto Commission Rationalization Has Legs
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27 Jul 2026 11:03:35 ET │ 11 pages
PICC P&C (2328.HK)
Mgmt Update: 1H26E Premium Growth Positive and CoR Further
Enhanced; Non-auto Commission Rationalization Has Legs
CITI'S TAKE Buy
Price (27 Jul 26 16:10) HK$15.03 We hosted a call with PICC P&C's management team regarding the latest
Target price HK$20.50 operating trends and future outlook, and we provide updates as below.
Expected share price 36.4%
returnBoth insurance results and investment results better off in 1H26E – For 1H26E,
Expected dividend yield 4.9%mgmt estimated both insurance services results and investment results would be
better off yoy, as 1) gross premium underwritten logged positive growth yoy and CoR Expected total return 41.3%
saw further improvement yoy despite the historical best u/w margin achieved in Market Cap HK$334,309M
1H25, and 2) investment performance has been on or above par with peers, though US$42,628M
PICC P&C’s stock allocation is relatively more tilted towards FVOCI stocks. As to
NAT CAT losses, mgmt shared that Jul26 suffered c.Rmb2bn NAT CAT losses (vs.
c.Rmb4bn in 3Q25) and 3Q26 could see some pressure yoy, but overall catastrophe
Michelle Ma, CFAAClosses shall be manageable on a full-year basis.
+852-2501-2723
michelle.ma@citi.com
Amy Jy Chen
Auto insurance: premium growth turned around and CoR further enhanced in amy.jy.chen@citi.com
1H26E – Mgmt noted that industry saw flattish auto premium growth amid
lukewarm new vehicle sales while PICC delivered modest positive yoy premium
growth in 1H26, mainly thanks to increase in the number of vehicles insured. As to
underwriting profitability, mgmt expected auto CoR to continue to improve in
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