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Lazard 2Q26 Earnings: Soft Quarter, 2H26 A Show Me Story
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Lazard 2Q26 Earnings: Soft Quarter, 2H26 A Show Me Story
Global Research
23 July 2026ab
Lazard Equities
United States2Q26 Earnings: Soft Quarter, 2H26 A Show Me
Story Diversified Financial
12-month rating Neutral *
12m price target US$44.00Our Take: Comp Ratio Miss Overshadows Top Line Beat
LAZ shares underperformed boutique peers by ~80bps, after a higher than expected
comp ratio that missed even the highest street estimate despite revs better than Price (23 Jul 2026) US$43.05
expected. That said, management expects the pick up in the 2H advisory fees to be RIC: LAZ.N BBG: LAZ US
"pronounced", which is supported by LAZ's strong fee pipeline and expected closings in
2H26. We'd note that advisory revs are typically up ~11.4% 2H/1H (avg last 3 years), but Trading data and key metrics
we expect 2H26/1H26 to be up 35%, even above the 2021 26% level. Despite LAZ 52-wk range US$57.75-39.11
being the second-worst-performing boutique stock year to date, we believe an Market cap. US$4.08b
inflection in sentiment will require evidence of a meaningful 2H advisory recovery, Shares o/s 94.9m (COM)
supported by continued pipeline growth. Free float 98%
Avg. daily volume ('000) 734
Compensation Ratio Continues to Track Above Estimates Avg. daily value (m) US$32.3
The 2Q comp ratio of 69.9% came in well above the consensus estimate of 66.7%, and Common s/h equity (12/26E) US$0.77b
follows the historical accrual philosophy of flat in the first part of the year. While the P/BV (12/26E) 5.6x
above average gross increase in MD headcount is a drag to meaningful comp ratio Tier 1 ratio -
improvement in the near term, fixed comp headwinds should slow. In other words, '26
should start to mark a cross over year in the advisory J-curve before productivity ramps EPS (UBS, diluted) (USD)
12/26E
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