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KPN Q2: Data Breach Tailwind Competed Away; FY26 Service Revenue Targets Reduced
研报英文原文证据摘录
KPN Q2: Data Breach Tailwind Competed Away; FY26 Service Revenue Targets Reduced
J P M O R G A N Europe Credit Research
22 July 2026
Neutral
KPN KPN
Q2: Data Breach Tailwind Competed Away; FY26 S&P:Fitch: BBBBBB Outlook:Outlook: StableStable
The above agency ratings are at the corporate levelService Revenue Targets Reduced
Europe Corporate Credit -
Technology, Media &
Telecommunications
Andrew Webb AC
(44-20) 7134-0121
andrew.x.webb@jpmorgan.com
• KPN delivered a small beat in Q2, with Adj. EBITDAaL 0.7% ahead and FCF Alvaro Calero Fernandez
5.6% ahead. KPN saw little sequential benefit from the Odido data breach, as (44-20) 7134-3000
competition stepped up to capture the increase in commercial activity. The alvaro.calerofernandez@jpmorgan.com
company downgraded FY26 targets for service revenues but remains on track Dihan D Udugampola, CFA
to deliver on mid-term ambitions, with net leverage ending the period at the (44-20) 3493-6714
dihan.udugampola@jpmorgan.com
upper end of its <2.5x financial policy target. We reiterate our Neutral J.P. Morgan Securities plc
recommendation on KPN (EUR/GBP notes), reflecting a more balanced
risk-reward profile as the company transitions beyond its peak
investment phase. KPN remains committed to returning all free cash flow to KPN (KPN) CDS, z+34bps as of 13:45pm,
shareholders through dividends and buybacks. At the 2025 CMD, the mid-term 22nd July 2026.
leverage ceiling was raised to ~2.8x, with incremental headroom used to
consolidate Glaspoort, bolt-on acquisitions, or shareholder returns. The
company maintains a strong position in the three-player Dutch market,
supported by mobile network quality leadership and a leading fibre franchise.
Following the ACM's decision to block the proposed Glaspoort-Delta Fibre
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