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China CCL: Nanya New Material (688519.SS; Not Covered) – Downstream Accepting CCL Hikes; Mgmt Sees Prices Rising Further
研报英文原文证据摘录
China CCL: Nanya New Material (688519.SS; Not Covered) – Downstream Accepting CCL Hikes; Mgmt Sees Prices Rising Further
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22 Jul 2026 09:51:53 ET │ 9 pages
China CCL
Nanya New Material (688519.SS; Not Covered) – Downstream
Accepting CCL Hikes; Mgmt Sees Prices Rising Further
CITI'S TAKE
We hosted Nanya management for an investor update call on 22 Jul. Mgmt
said the CCL price cycle still has room to run. Standard halogen-free sheet
prices are above the 2021 peak, and Nanya raised its illustrative minimum Alice CaiAC
gross-margin threshold for standard-grade orders again in 3Q26. +852-2501-2704
Consumer and auto customers began accepting price increases in the alice.cai@citi.com
past month, before reaching the point of idling lines due to material Eric Lau
shortages. Mgmt’s preliminary view is that low-end glass fabric supply +852-2501-2726
may start easing only around end-2027, with no timeline for high-end eric.h.lau@citi.com
grades. Nanya announced 1H26 net profit of Rmb420–500mn, up 382–
473% YoY.
Existing capacity fully utilized; growth shifts to price and mix
On volume: Monthly output averaged 3.1–3.2mn sheets in 2025 versus ~2.2mn early
that year on ~60% utilization. Lines have run full throughout 2026 at 3.6–3.7mn
sheets/month, below the 4.0mn design level due to high-speed changeovers. Sales
exceed 4mn sheets/month, including outsourced mid-/low-end volume, while
finished-goods inventory is near zero. Further volume growth awaits the N8 addition
in 3Q26.
On price: A standard halogen-free sheet sells above Rmb300 versus Rmb160–170 at
end-2025 and the 2021 peak of ~Rmb280. The top 20 customers, accounting for
~80% of revenue, generally reprice monthly with a lag; large customers still pay
Rmb200-plus, while some orders are priced at delivery.
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