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2H26 Calendar To Drive Upside Invts; Raise Est, Reit Buy
研报英文原文证据摘录
2H26 Calendar To Drive Upside Invts; Raise Est, Reit Buy
for addition to base plan driving growth Exhibit 1 - OGE - FY2 (2028) PE Multiple %
higher. Premium/Discount (5-Year Average)
XLPL Tariff direct customer benefit along with GOOGL contract a precursor for even more data
center activity. See both as gating factors. OGE engaged in negotiations with GOOGL which resulted
in the executed special contract and provided the foundational regulatory framework within the
XLPL tariff was developed, as well as informed by HB2992. We estimate ~$3/month customer .
Source: Jefferies LLC and FactSet
credit. High likelihood OGE can replicate its GOOGL tariff with other potential data centers. See very favorable fact pattern in 2H
supporting re-rating of shares yet further.Upcoming rate case risks manageable as are mid-term elections for now. See a mid-single digit
EPS estimates well above Street.rate request as noncontroversial. We have not heard of any real anti-utility and/or affordability
platforms by candidates yet but to monitor as we head into primaries next month. Julien Dumoulin-Smith * | Equity Analyst
+1 (281) 774-2066 | jds@jefferies.com
See B/S strength maintained throughout the plan. Model FFO/debt at ~17% each year, consistent Paul Zimbardo * | Equity Analyst
with OGE targets and also Moody's recent lowered threshold. Assume upside capex financed with +1 (212) 778-8497 | pzimbardo@jefferies.com
45% equity. Brian Russo, CFA * | Equity Analyst
+1 (212) 778-8559 | brusso@jefferies.com
Update PT to $60 (vs $59) on FY29 m2m peer electric average P/E roll-forward. Still at an
inline FY29 P/E multiple or -3%/+1% discount/premium to JEFe/cons, see favorable risk-reward Ivana Ergovic * | Equity Analyst
+1 (212) 284-2175 | iergovic@jefferies.com
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