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H126 results: mix surprise, profit guidance upgrade
研报英文原文证据摘录
H126 results: mix surprise, profit guidance upgrade
Update
July 22, 2026 06:53 AM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+MLonza Group AG | Europe Thibault Boutherin
Equity Analyst
H1'26 results: mix surprise, profit Thibault.Boutherin@morganstanley.comSarita Kapila +44 20 7425-9688
Sarita.Kapila@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-1320
guidance upgrade Adithya Venkat
Research Associate
Adithya.Venkat@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-2216
AlphaSignals Earnings Reaction
Lonza Group AG (LONN.S, LONN SE)
Unchanged Modest upside Modest revision higher
Pharmaceuticals | Switzerland
Impact to our thesis Financial results versus consensus Direction of next 12-month
consensus EPS Stock Rating Overweight
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research Industry View In-Line
Price target SFr 650.00
Shr price, close (Jul 21, 2026) SFr 564.00
Key Takeaways 52-WeekMkt cap, currRange(mn) SFr 594.80-SFr 454.6039,476
Net debt (12/26e) (mn)* SFr 3,191
We expect Lonza shares to outperform with an EBITDA beat and profit guide EV, curr (mn)* SFr 42,995
upgrade with strong Advanced Synthesis and Advanced modalities
* = GAAP or approximated based on GAAP
FY26 CDMO guidance upgraded for core EBITDA margin (from >32% to 33-34%),
sales guidance unchanged (+11-12% sales growth CER)
The core EBITDA guidance upgrade implies 4% uplift to consensus FY26 core
EBITDA
H1'26 benefit from phasing but this was anticipated somewhat by consensus and
the guidance raise confirms an underlying margin improvement beyond phasing
Integrated Biologics H1 sales were below consensus, but the business should see
a more consistent growth through the year (+/-10% CER)
H1'26 key takeaways: 1% miss on sales, 4% beat on core EBITDA. As previously
communicated by the company, H1'26 sales benefited from positive phasing (+16%
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