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Global Oil and Gas Hormuz tracker: day 139
研报英文原文证据摘录
Global Oil and Gas Hormuz tracker: day 139
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Global Oil and Gas Equities
GlobalHormuz tracker: day 139
Oil Companies, Major
Henri Patricot, CFA
Further escalation Analyst
The conflict in the Middle East is escalating further as Iran reportedly targeted power henri.patricot@ubs.com
plants and desalinisation plants in Kuwait (link). Previous strikes had focused on +33-14-888 3033
US military targets. These followed US strikes on bridges and an airport in Iran. Nayoung Kim
Analyst
Limited Gulf tanker crossings nayoung.kim@ubs.com
+44-20-7568 4010
Increased attacks continue to weigh heavily on flows via Hormuz. The latest UBS
Evidence Lab data (> Access Dataset) show that oil and gas tanker crossings fell to one, Joshua Stone
with only one product tanker entering the Gulf (Figure 1Oil&gastankerspasingthroughtheStraitofHormuz,innumberofshipsenteringandexitingtheGulfOil&gastankerspasingthroughtheStraitofHormuz,innumberofshipsenteringandexitingtheGulf). July-to-date crossings have Analyst
averaged 10, down from the mid-to-high teens recorded in late June and early July, and joshua.stone@ubs.com
+44-20-7901 5588
remain well below the c.50 level seen in February. Oil on water in the Gulf is ticking up
again, up ~5Mb in recent days (Figure 10MidleEastGulfoilonwater(Mb)). The absence of outbound oil and gas flows Josh Silverstein
takes the July average down to 5.4Mboe/d, compared with 3.7Mboe/d in June and Analyst
1.3Mboe/d in May (Figure 4EstimatedoilandgasflowsexitingtheGulf,basedonDWT,inMboe/dEstimatedoilandgasflowsexitingtheGulf,basedonDWT,inMboe/dmatedoilandgasflowsexitingtheGulf,basedonDWT,inMboe/d). Capacity entering the Gulf fell to 0.7Mboe/d and has josh.silverstein@ubs.com
+1-212-713 3513
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