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Vista Energy Jun/26 production and model update: On course for a compelling story
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Vista Energy Jun/26 production and model update: On course for a compelling story
during the month (@100%), out of which 9 in Bandurria Sur, 4 in La Amarga Chica and
4 in Bajo del Toro. At Vista's WI, net new wells amounted to 5.7.
2Q26 call highlights
2H26 production outlook: Management forecasts production at c160kboed in
3Q26 and c170kboed in 4Q26 to reach its full-year guidance of 158kboed.
Equinor assets outlook: Management stated that recently consolidated
assets, Bandurria Sur and Bajo del Toro, are performing in line with
expectations. Current production (@WI) stands at c19kboed for Bandurria Sur
and c2kboed for Bajo del Toro, with three rigs currently operating at Bandurria
Sur. The company expects production to gradually increase toward year-end.
In addition, management noted that discussions with YPF regarding the 2027
development plan are beginning to take shape.
2H26 Brent sensitivity: Vista outlined that for every US$10/bbl change in
Brent for 2H26, the company expects an impact in adj. EBITDA of cUS$200mn.
Capital allocation plans: With strong cash generation expected for 2026 and
2027, management views a greater flexibility for capital allocation. Potential
uses include opportunistic M&As, incremental capex for RIGI projects, and
share buybacks in the ST, and, in the LT, the implementation of a formal
shareholder return policy. However, management emphasized that the near-
term priority remains deleveraging, with a target of bringing ND / EBITDA
closer to 1.0x.
Outflow capacity: CEO Miguel Galuccio stated that VMOS construction process
is on track with expectations for now, although the shipment of a very specific
component is currently being affected by Hormuz Strait closure. While the
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