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Weekend Exploration: First Target – Week 1 OFS Earnings Previews
研报英文原文证据摘录
Weekend Exploration: First Target – Week 1 OFS Earnings Previews
tional update from RRC, with production tracking toward
expectations despite lower oil and gas prices. The key driver remains continued
execution on the company's growth initiatives, including the addition of a second
completion crew and the startup of the Harmon Creek 3 processing plant, which
we see supporting production growth to 2.54Bcfepd in 4Q26 and 2.62Bcfepd in
FY27. We also expect investor focus on commercial opportunities tied to in-basin
gas demand, as RRC remains in discussions with multiple potential end users for
future supply agreements. On the financial side, following Net Debt/EBITDA
declining to 0.5x at the end of 1Q26, we see RRC increasingly positioned to
accelerate shareholder returns. We project $60mm of buybacks during the quarter
and expect continued balance sheet improvement to support a more meaningful
ramp in capital returns through 2027.
OVV. We forecast 2Q26 Adj. EBITDA of $1,306mm vs. Street's $1,309mm. We
forecast total production of 619mboepd, in line with Street and slightly below the
midpoint of the 610-635mboepd guide on royalty impacts. OVV remains a top Oil
E&P pick heading into 2Q results. We look for another robust operational update,
with well performance in both the Midland and Montney continuing to trend
above the 2025 type curve. This is helping hold crude and condensate volumes
near the midpoint of the 200-205mbpd guidance range despite royalty volume
impacts and plant turnaround headwinds. Looking ahead, we see volumes
increasing back toward the 205-208mbpd level in 2H26, with upside to 210mbpd
should Permian production remain near 125mbpd. Beyond operations, we expect
investor focus to remain on capital returns following the Anadarko divestiture. We
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