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China Internet Sector: Improving marketing feedback; debate remains on LLM value creation and ROI
研报英文原文证据摘录
China Internet Sector: Improving marketing feedback; debate remains on LLM value creation and ROI
narrowing. However, they remain cautious on the pace of topline recovery into 2H and
investment scale for international business. PDD: We observed a pick up in investor
interest, alongside Shein's potential IPO which the market might start to attribute value
to PDD's Temu. Valuation is undemanding at 8x 2026E P/E with potential earnings
surprises (investment income reversal in 2Q, and easier OMS growth comp in 2H).
Baidu: Key focus remains on progress of Kunlunxin IPO and other catalysts (e.g.
Southbound inclusion, dividend payout). While investors are generally positive about
Baidu's SOTP value unlocking, the potential step-up of AI investment hurting 2H26
earnings is a major concern. Zhipu and MiniMax: Investor interest in model companies
remains high with better sentiment for Zhipu due to its model leadership, and we see
increasing interest from global investors to understand China's model landscape. While
recent price correction reflects heightened competition concern post Kimi K3 launch,
future model upgrades from listed players remain the key to monitor. Kuaishou: Key
debates center on Kling ARR ramp-up and the video genAI competitive landscape, while
core business concerns should be largely priced in. Risk-reward is attractive with the
upcoming Kling model upgrade and further spin-off progress. A gradual shift toward
SOTP framework should unlock meaningful valuation upside for Kuaishou. Bilibili:
Investors are generally positive on continued ad outperformance, while near-term
gaming catalysts appear limited, with the new pipeline backend-loaded into Q4.
Fundamentals remain constructive, though the Tencent sell-down overhang may weigh
on near term sentiment.
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