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Not Yet Enticing Enough
研报英文原文证据摘录
Not Yet Enticing Enough
EUROPE | General Retailers EquityJulyResearch22, 2026
KEY STOCKS FEATURED INCLUDE:Not Yet Enticing Enough
Our analysis of the key budget inputs for UK/European consumers shows TICKER RATING PRICE TARGET
little reason why there should be a significant upswing in spending into MKS LN BUY 460.00p
H2. This top-line picture is compounded by emerging COGS pressure (if ZAL GR BUY €35.00
modest). We therefore find it hard to argue that investors will re-engage ABF LN UNPF 1,650.00p
in these European non-food retailers in the near term. We continue to NXT LN HOLD 14,500.00p
argue that the bottom-up merits of MKS and ZAL should make them PNDORA DC HOLD DKK700.00
outperformers, with ABF the underperformer.
Will investors come back to consumer? A dearth of optimism around the European consumer KEY CHANGES INCLUDE:
has compounded the opportunity cost of overweight positions in consumer discretionary over
TICKER RATING PRICE TARGET
the last few months (eg given more enticing AI opportunities coming to market). Our outlook
for consumer spending, bottom-up cost structures, and valuation within our EU retail coverage MKS LN BUY 460.00p (440.00p)
leads us to question whether there will be a top-down regross into the sector. Instead, we ZAL GR BUY €35.00 (€31.00)
continue to prefer bottom-up earnings and valuation plays. NXT LN HOLD 14,500.00p (14,000.00p)
We update our UK consumer cash flow - and extend the analysis to Europe. We see slowing PNDORA DC HOLD DKK700.00 (DKK650.00)
wage growth, rising unemployment, and elevated cost pressures making for a challenged end
to 2026, leading us to forecast 0.6% UK growth in FY27 (vs 1.9% in Dec, after 7.7% in FY26).
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