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China EV Monthly Chartbook: The Summer Lull
研报英文原文证据摘录
China EV Monthly Chartbook: The Summer Lull
China (PRC) | Autos & Auto Parts EquityJulyResearch20, 2026
KEY STOCKS FEATURED INCLUDE:China EV Monthly Chartbook: The Summer
TICKER RATING PRICE TARGETLull
600733 CH HOLD Rmb4.50
Domestic demand remained soft in Jun-26, with PV wholesale and retail
sales down 6% and 23% YoY, while NEV penetration eased from May's peak.
Exports stayed the key bright spot, surging 80% YoY to a record 905k units,
KEY CHANGES INCLUDE:
led by Chery, BYD, Geely and SAIC, as Chinese brands continued gaining
overseas share. Pricing pressure persisted, with retail ASP down 2% MoM TICKER RATING PRICE TARGET
to RMB170k and Chinese NEV prices falling 9% YoY. Details below. 600733 CH HOLD Rmb4.50 (Rmb8.40)
NEV insurance penetration eased to 60.3%.
Exhibit 1 - China NEV Monthly Insurance Sales
PV wholesale volume reached 2.4mn units (-5.6% YoY, +6.6% MoM), with exports (+80% Penetration Reached 60.3% in Jun-26• 70%
60.3% YoY to 904.5k) maintaining strong momentum. Retail came in at 1.66mn units (-23% YoY, 60%
+13% MoM). 50%
NEV PV wholesale volume was 1.52mn units, up 21.3% YoY and 9.8% MoM. Domestic 40%• 30%
NEV insurance penetration eased to 60.3% (off May's record 62.3%); BEV at 41.6%, PHEV 20%
at 18.7%. 10%
On market share, Leapmotor, Geely and NIO all outperformed in 1H26, with share up 0%•
1.3/1.2/1.2ppt YoY. Leapmotor stood out with 1H26 retail up 45% YoY (Jun-26 +73% .
Source: ThinkerCar, Jefferies
YoY to 70k units), while NIO also accelerated (+68% 1H26 YoY; Jun-26 +88% YoY to 41k
units). BYD conitnued to lose ground (-38% 1H26 YoY), while most JV/luxury brands (Ford, Exhibit 2 - Chery and BYD Led China's 1H26 PV
Honda, Mercedes all down 30%+ in Jun) continued to underperform. Exports,1,000 Leapmotor Posted Sharpest YoY Gain400%
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