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European Banks Daily
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European Banks Daily
oelis margins. Mgmt reiterated non-
compensation expense growth guidance ranging between ~16-17% y/y as posted in FY25 but
alluded that expenses, particularly tech costs, are running hot YTD; as such, we currently model
y/y non-comp growth of ~18% in FY26 (JPMe 2Q26 $63mn, +19% y/y). Our rating remains
unchanged and our Dec-26 price target is also unchanged at $70 after adjusting our target
multiple one-turn lower on the back of the large investment banks’ earnings releases and
warnings of a peak environment.
Exchange Volumes Update:Week of July 10 - July 16: Flat-to-Lower Volumes this Week,
excl. Cboe’s Flagship Products; 3Q26TD Off to Mixed Start
Kenneth B. Worthington, CFA (1-212) 622-6613Daily industry volumes for the week of July 10
through July 16 were flat-to-lower this week versus last week. An outlier here were Cboe’s
flagship products. SPX and VIX options, as ADVs increased ~5% WoW despite a largely
unchanged average VIX reading throughout the week (up ~1% WoW to 16.2 from 16.1).
Conversely, industry cash equity volumes fell nearly 6% WoW and industry options volumes
were roughly flat. Separately, zooming out, 3Q26 is off to a mixed start sequentially, but volumes
are tracking more positively when comparing 3Q26TD ADVs with annual comps, particularly
in derivatives markets; see Table 1 below for details.
Large Cap Banks: Fed Weekly:C&I & NBFI Loans Down Moderately Last Week Led By
Sharp Drop in C&I, Deposits Down Very Sharply
Vivek Juneja (1-212) 622-6465
Last week, deposits fell very sharply by 1.5% at large banks but were flattish at small banks, and
deposits fell 0.7% at all banks. Borrowings rose moderately by 0.4% at large banks but were
flattish at small banks, while borrowings at all banks rose 1.2% due to sharp increase at foreign
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