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BlackRock: Upgrading to Overweight - A Strong 2Q26 with More Operating Leverage Ahead; Strong Fundamental Outlook Provides Upside to Stock That Has Lagged
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BlackRock: Upgrading to Overweight - A Strong 2Q26 with More Operating Leverage Ahead; Strong Fundamental Outlook Provides Upside to Stock That Has Lagged
J P M O R G A N North America Equity Research
16 July 2026
BlackRock
Upgrading to Overweight - A Strong 2Q26 with More ▲Overweight
Operating Leverage Ahead; Strong Fundamental Previous: Neutral
Outlook Provides Upside to Stock That Has Lagged BLK, BLK US
Price (15 Jul 26):$1,093.40
▲Price Target (Dec-26):$1,364.00
Prior (Dec-26):$1,165.00
BlackRock reported 2Q26 adj. EPS of $13.91, well-ahead of Bloomberg Brokers, Asset Managers &
consensus estimates with top-line trends supported by a strong beat in net sales and Exchanges
higher avg AUM. With strong top line trends, operating leverage was evident with Michael Cho AC
2Q26 adj. operating margins of 45.9%, after 1Q26 margins of 44.5%. The closely (1-212) 622-3619
watched organic base fee growth was +8% in 2Q26, in line with 1Q26 levels. 2Q26 michael.cho@jpmchase.com
long-term inflows were $199bn, accelerating from 1Q26 inflows of $136bn. Kenneth B. Worthington, CFA
iShares continued to drive the strength of inflows with both equity and fixed (1-212) 622-6613
income ETFs delivering solid results. While private markets and private credit kenneth.b.worthington@jpmorgan.com
redemption concerns have continued to capture industry headlines and investor Madeline Daleiden
(1-212) 622-4911
sentiment, we note that retail private markets are not yet a material driver of flows madeline.daleiden@jpmchase.com
for BlackRock. Moreover, BlackRock delivered 2Q26 inflows of $15bn in its J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
private markets business (after $9bn inflows in 1Q26). Following the 2Q26
earnings release, we are upgrading the BlackRock stock to Overweight (from
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