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J.P. Morgan International FTM 15 Jul 26: European Infrastructure; Rightmove & REA Group; Irish Banks; BizLink; India Autos; PCs and Servers; Japan Quant Strategy; MENA Retail & Food Delivery; Mexican Bottlers and More. Wed Jul 15 2026
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J.P. Morgan International FTM 15 Jul 26: European Infrastructure; Rightmove & REA Group; Irish Banks; BizLink; India Autos; PCs and Servers; Japan Quant Strategy; MENA Retail & Food Delivery; Mexican Bottlers and More. Wed Jul 15 2026
Global Equity Research
International First to Market 15 July 2026
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AFL | European Infrastructure (Elodie Rall), Spain, France, Germany, Switzerland
Recap of expectations into Q2/H1 results: traffic risks well flagged; see most recovery potential at
Fraport
The sector has underperformed the broader market (up 2% vs SXXP 8%) YTD, in particular since the onset of the Iran conflict
which remains a key overhang. Therefore, performance is likely to remain volatile until we see a real ceasefire. Overall, we see
some trimming to estimates into results across the sector, but we think this is largely already discounted. The set up is mixed
across airports. Aena (N) is the stock where earnings estimates remain positively supported by the latest traffic trends and
where a guidance upgrade is likely, although widely expected, with the stock being the strongest airport performer YTD. A
guidance upgrade was also largely expected at Zurich (N), noting consensus is already above, but the latest June traffic
release makes an upgrade less likely. ADP (N) has been widely expected to lower guidance, but recent commentary has been
reassuring, and with consensus already below guidance, a reaffirmation of guidance could potentially be reassuring. Fraport
(OW) is the worst performer YTD but we reiterate our preference here within airports, as we believe Monday’s guidance could
prove a clearing event post H1 results, with the lower traffic expectations already somewhat reflected in consensus and focus
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