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Renewed tensions
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Renewed tensions
15 July 2026
Renewed tensions Multi-AssetGlobal Strategy
Multi-Asset Strategy
◆ Once again oil prices rise on renewed Middle East tensions, but Max Kettner*, CFA
this doesn’t affect our bullish view on risk assets Chief Multi-Asset Strategist
HSBC Bank plc
◆ FX is less sensitive so far while front-end RV re-pricing offers maximilian.l.kettner@hsbc.com+44 20 7991 5045
good entry points – we stick to preference of EU vs US duration Duncan Toms*, CFA
Multi-Asset Strategist
◆ Lower-than-expected US inflation for June shuts the door for HSBC Bank plc
duncan.toms@hsbc.com
July hike and is the first sign of a ‘US exceptionalism unwind’ +44 20 7991 3025
Harriet Smith*, CFA
If you appreciate our research, please consider voting in this year’s Global Fixed Analyst, Multi-Asset Strategy
Income Research Extel survey (Economics/Strategy – Cross Asset Strategy). harriet.smith@hsbc.com
+44 20 7992 0164
In our H2 outlook (8 Jul) we wrote that geopolitics is now firmly in the rear view mirror Jayasankar Mallisetty*
– just for the Middle East conflict to make a sudden comeback. In the coming days, Multi-Asset Strategist
HSBC Securities and Capital Markets (India) Private
the renewed escalation may well dominate the headlines. Limited
jayasankar.mallisetty@hsbc.co.in
But we don't see sufficient reason to change our views: +91 80 30012660
1. Our view on risk assets is not affected by this renewed escalation. We see the Q2 Mark McDonald
Head of AI and Data Science
reporting season as a much more important driver. Despite the narrative of high HSBC Bank plc
consensus expectations for the US, sequential q/q earnings growth expectations mark.mcdonald@hsbcib.com
+44 20 7991 3119
are still pretty low (ex energy/materials q/q bottom-up consensus net income
Shiva Joon, CFA
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