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Credit & Decision Making Software: Gauging Credit as Glimpse to EFX, FICO, TRU
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Credit & Decision Making Software: Gauging Credit as Glimpse to EFX, FICO, TRU
Global Research
14 July 2026ab
Credit & Decision Making Software Equities
AmericasGauging Credit as Glimpse to EFX, FICO, TRU
Software
Kevin McVeigh
Monitoring Origination and Consumer Trends as EFX + TRU Proxy Analyst
Ahead of credit bureau [EFX + TRU] and credit software [FICO] earnings we reconcile kevin.mcveigh@ubs.com
recent activity—mortgage + consumer credit—as a read-across. While higher interest +1-212-882 0081
rates and housing affordability are impacting credit markets we see EFX, TRU, and FICO Bruna Werneck
poised to navigate any changes. Overall, recent mortgage origination volumes have Associate Analyst
stalled following 30-year fixed mortgage rates rising to ~6.5%. That said, borrowing bruna.werneck@ubs.com
costs have the potential to impact H226 if elevated interest rates stall purchase + +1-212-882 5955
refinance activity even if consumer credit remains constructive. Net-net, these results are Olivia Bradlee
encouraging for credit bureaus. We monitor mortgage as EFX + FICO [~20% revenue Associate Analyst
versus ~32% for EFX in 2020] and TRU [~12% versus ~13% in 2020] and end of period olivia.bradlee@ubs.com
[EOP] credit card loans as EFX and TRU are 40-45% consumer credit. +1-212-713 1227
Mortgage [~20% EFX, FICO revenue + ~11% TRU]—latest mortgage
applications FWE 7/3 slipped 2.2% showing continued depressed levels. This
compares to EFX and TRU's LSD/MSD 2026 mortgage inquiry decline guidance.
Our Equifax preference is partially due to higher upside in a potential recovery.
Consumer credit [~40-45% EFX & TRU]—EOP credit card loans rose
4%/5%/7%/6% YoY at BAC/C/JPM/WFC. JPM—resilient consumer credit
performance with debit and credit card volume +10% YoY. Similarly, BOA
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