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F2/27 1Q Results: Behind Plan Due to Inventory Disposals
研报英文原文证据摘录
F2/27 1Q Results: Behind Plan Due to Inventory Disposals
Update
July 14, 2026 10:43 AM GMT
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities Co., Ltd.+MIDOM (7599) | Japan Katsumi Arai
Equity Analyst
F2/27 1Q Results: Behind Plan Katsumi.Arai@morganstanleymufg.comNatsuko Seto +81 3 6836-8918
Research Associate
Natsuko.Seto@morganstanleymufg.com +81 3 6836-8940
Due to Inventory Disposals
Reaction to earnings
Unchanged Meaningful shortfall Modest revision lower
Impact to our thesis Financial results versus consensus Direction of next 12-month
consensus EPS IDOM (7599.T, 7599 JP)
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research Mid Small Cap/Non-Manufacturer | Japan
Stock Rating Overweight
Industry View In-Line
Key Takeaways Price target ¥2,100
Shr price, close (Jul 14, 2026) ¥1,366
1Q OP came to ¥4.4bn, 22% below the ¥5.6bn consensus, and also seemingly Mkt cap, curr, basic (bn) ¥137.2
behind guidance by a similar margin. Avg daily trading value (bn) ¥1.0
It appears the guidance miss was mainly the result of wholesale GP per vehicle
falling short due to increased inventory disposal losses aimed at improving ROIC.
IDOM believes it can still achieve full-year guidance through gains in GP per retail
unit from 2Q.
IDOM had until now wholesale-disposed of vehicle inventory purchased through
auctions when the number of inventory days had exceeded 120, but from F2/27, it
has shifted to wholesale-disposing of sub-120-day vehicle inventory if anticipated GP
is low. As a result, GP per wholesale unit declined YoY and lagged guidance. This
would ordinarily serve to improve GP per retail unit, but the improvement was
insufficient to offset the deterioration in GP per wholesale unit in 1Q due to
disruption associated with the transition period. IDOM believes it can recover the 1Q
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