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First Read North American Trucks: EPA announces proposed changes to 2027 truck emissions regulations
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First Read North American Trucks: EPA announces proposed changes to 2027 truck emissions regulations
Global Research
9 July 2026ab
First Read
EquitiesNorth American Trucks
EPA announces proposed changes to 2027 truck Americas
emissions regulations Land Transportation Equipment
Steven Fisher, CFA
Analyst
steven.fisher@ubs.com
Scaling back warranty and adding non-compliance penalties were expected +1-212-713 8634
The EPA has announced long-awaited proposed changes to its 2027 emissions Avinatan Jaroslawicz
regulations for trucks. There are four primary changes that were unveiled: Analyst
avinatan.jaroslawicz@ubs.com
1. Scaled back the extended warranty provision +1-212-713 1405
2. Proposed nonconformance penalties (NCPs) Hemal Bhundia, CFA
3. Elimination of deratements and vehicle speed restriction for engines hemal.bhundia@ubs.com
4. Pushout of the start of longer useful life requirements +44-20-7901 6515
Judah Aronovitz
The EPA was expected to remove the extended warranty requirements while keeping the Associate Analyst
NOx reductions, and to introduce nonconformance penalties to afford OEMs more time judah.aronovitz@ubs.com
to fully develop products (vs. leaving nonconformance undefined and at risk). The exact +1-212-713-4881
implications for each will depend on which approach each OEM considers best given Lauren Sullivan
their particular position. Associate Analyst
lauren.sullivan@ubs.com
We think this is likely a modest positive for truck stocks +1-212-713 8230
We think this is likely a modest positive for truck stocks, mainly due to the greater
certainty, but there are still a number of open questions. Potential implications could
include:
The introduction of nonconformance penalties for noncompliant engines could
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