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LATAM Corporates Daily: Your daily dose of all things LatAm
研报英文原文证据摘录
LATAM Corporates Daily: Your daily dose of all things LatAm
J P M O R G A N Latin America Credit Research
13 July 2026
LATAM Corporates Daily
Your daily dose of all things LatAm
Latin America Corporate Research
Natalia Corfield AC
(1-212) 834-9150
natalia.corfield@jpmorgan.com
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
Alejandra Andrade
Highlights (1-212) 834-3220
alejandra.andrade@jpmorgan.com
• FS: Ratings downgraded to B+ from BB- by Fitch J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
• Amaggi: Downgraded to B+ from BB- by Fitch Ian B Snyder (1-212) 834-3798
• Performance ian.b.snyder@jpmchase.com
Prices in this note are as of July 10, 2026. Florencia Palacios
(1-212) 622-1129
florencia.x.palacios@jpmorgan.com
FS: Ratings downgraded to B+ from BB- by Fitch J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
Bhavya Gupta
Fitch downgraded FS to B+ from BB-, with a Stable outlook. The action reflects
(91-22) 6157-3132
expectations that credit metrics will remain pressured through FY27, as FS fully bhavya.x.gupta@jpmchase.com
debt-funds the construction of a fifth corn-ethanol plant in Mato Grosso alongside J.P. Morgan India Private Limited
another greenfield project. Fitch forecasts gross leverage to peak at around 6.3x in
FY27, with net leverage reaching 5.1x, while the higher debt burden should push
EBITDA/interest below 1.5x. Free cash flow is also expected to stay negative
through FY27, weighed down by heavy capex of BRL 3.1 billion in FY27 and BRL
1.5 billion in FY28. Fitch expects metrics to begin improving as the new plants
ramp up from FY28, with fuller normalization by FY29. The ratings remain
supported by FS’s large-scale corn ethanol platform and Mato Grosso footprint but
are constrained by ethanol price volatility and the low correlation between corn
input costs and ethanol prices.
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