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European Insurance News & Views: Read-across from latest Unum LTC deal for Aegon
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European Insurance News & Views: Read-across from latest Unum LTC deal for Aegon
Global Research
9 July 2026ab
European Insurance News & Views Equities
Europe including UKRead-across from latest Unum LTC deal for
Aegon Financial
Nasib Ahmed, FIA
Analyst
nasib-za.ahmed@ubs.com
Headline: Read-across from latest Unum LTC deal for Aegon +44-20-7568 8231
Will Hardcastle, CFA
Unum executed on a further Individual Long-term Care (LTC) deal (see here). We provide Analyst
comparisons against the Aegon block below, where Aegon’s LTC block remains a will.hardcastle@ubs.com
Financial Asset (where management have a bias to exit). We see more deals and capacity +44-20-7567 9763
in this market as potentially positive for a transaction at Aegon. Qian Lu
UBS Summary: qian-za.lu@ubs.com
+44-20-7567 4657
Chloe RyanWe note that the average attained age for the Unum block was 76 years versus c.70
Associate Analyst
years for the Aegon LTC block in aggregate. The Aegon block will reach peak reserves by
chloe.ryan@ubs.com
2033 as policyholders continue to pay premiums, therefore, it is unlikely the full block +44-20-7567 3505
will be transacted. Notwithstanding this, assuming the same multiple of best estimate
reserves as the Unum block, Aegon’s LTC block could be de-risked with a potential 1bn
USD payment. Our previous analysis on Unum’s 2025 deal is here.
FigureSource:Company1: LTC data,portfolioLTCUBS estimates
We also note a $125m PLA volatility cover on the latest deal over a duration of 5 years.
This allows a mechanism for payment in case long term assumptions turn out to be
different than assumed. We believe that there can be significant variability in the pricing
and assumptions on LTC deals and the mechanism may be used on further potential
deals.
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