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What now - I guess I‘ll just wait it out
研报英文原文证据摘录
What now - I guess I‘ll just wait it out
UK | Pharmaceuticals
AstraZeneca PLC EquityJulyResearch9, 2026
TARGET | ESTIMATE CHANGEWhat now - I guess I'll just wait it out
At the point of writing, AZN's share price is down c9% on what we see as a RATING BUY
c2% NPV impact from the CARDIO-TTRansforms failure. Granted this puts PRICE 14,240.00p^
a dent in comms credibility, but it does not impact the path to AZ's $80bn PRICE TARGET | % TO PT 17,500.00p (18,000.00p)
2030 sales target and only removes c.30bps from the 5-year EPS CAGR. | +23%
52W HIGH-LOW 15,732p - 10,178p
AZ remains the premium growth company into the end of the decade and
FLOAT (%) | ADV MM (USD) 96.6% | 414.39
beyond. Buying the dip.
MARKET CAP £220.9B | $295.3B
The stock reaction to the CARDIO-TTRansforms trial failure seems an over-reaction given TICKER AZN LN
^Prior trading day's closing price unless otherwise
the NPV, CAGR and 2030 sales estimates are only mildly impacted. This was meant to be noted.
a slam dunk making the outright failure surprising. Pulling Wainua in ATTR-CM from our
model though has limited impacts (same for cons) - a reflection of the breadth of AZ's RATING BUY
therapeutic positioning and the robustness of the growth trajectory. AZ remains a premium TICKER AZN
growth company with HSD top-line CAGR and LDD EPS CAGR leaving the stock on PEG of c1x
PRICE $189.28^
(v sector c2x). The catalyst path still includes volatility events, but we argue the move today
has priced all of them out. PRICE TARGET | % TO PT $234.00 ($245.00) | +24%
Updates to model: We remove sales forecasts for Wainua in ATTR-CM, which is the main driver FY (Dec) CHANGE TO JEFe JEF vs CONS
of our PT reduction by c.3%, whilst also modestly increasing the SG&A expenditures for this
2026 2027 2026 2027
year.
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