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StepStone: Diving into StepStone‘s Acquisition of StepStone Private Wealth — We View the Acquisition Structure / Valuation as Attractive, with Some Risk
研报英文原文证据摘录
StepStone: Diving into StepStone‘s Acquisition of StepStone Private Wealth — We View the Acquisition Structure / Valuation as Attractive, with Some Risk
Kenneth B. Worthington, CFA AC North America Equity Research
(1-212) 622-6613 09 July 2026 J P M O R G A N
kenneth.b.worthington@jpmorgan.com
Price Performance Summary Investment Thesis and Valuation
Investment Thesis
Demand is elevated for private-market solutions like
StepStone’s relative to public market solutions due to higher
returns and diversification not found in public markets. This
demand is expected to continue, creating a healthy environment
in which STEP will continue to grow. We see StepStone as
earlier in its growth algorithm than longer-tenured and larger
peer HLNE, and therefore see the potential for faster growth
should market conditions remain stable. STEP has been
investing in growth heavily in recent years (which we see
YTD 1m 3m 12m contributing to lower historical FRE margins), and we expect
Abs -33.8% -1.7% -12.4% -26.9% these investments to pay off, especially as pertaining to the
Rel -52.9% -5.3% -25.2% -59.6%
private wealth channel.
Company Data
Valuation
Shares O/S (mn) 122
52-week range ($) 76.82-38.85 We arrive at our December 2026 price target of $69 by applying
Market cap ($ mn) 5,198.67 a 22x multiple to our 2028E post-tax adjusted CY net earnings
Exchange rate 1.00 per share, and accounting for the expected accretion and
Free float (%) 98.4%
3M ADV (mn) 1.30 capitalized costs to come from what we view as the probable
3M ADV ($ mn) 61.4 exercise of STEP’s call option to acquire the outstanding stake
Volatility (90 Day) 49 in its private wealth business (since it only impacts our
Index RUSSELL 2000
BBG ANR (Buy | Hold | Sell) 7|1|0 projection period for one quarter).
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