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Initiating Coverage of Scorpio Tankers at Equal-weight
研报英文原文证据摘录
Initiating Coverage of Scorpio Tankers at Equal-weight
FoundationMability to invest counter-cyclically and return capital through the cycle. STNG stands
out due to its combination of a top-tier fleet, high earnings leverage, strong balance
sheet, and disciplined capital returns, all supported by favorable structural trends in
global refined product shipping.
• Management currently estimates that its daily cash break-even time
charter equivalent (TCE) rate is ~$11,000/day, the lowest level in the
company's history. Its current break-even (which includes vessel operating
costs, cash G&A, interest payments and commitment fees, and regularly
scheduled loan amortization) is below STNG's achieved daily TCE rates
dating back to 2013, with the closest point occurring during Covid, when
global oil demand saw its largest decline on record.
• Deleveraging efforts in recent years have moved STNG to a net cash
position. At the end of 2021, STNG had $2.9bn of net debt ($3.3bn of
outstanding debt against $230mm of cash). As of May 2026, it had a net pro
forma cash position of $876mm (reducing debt to $932mm, with $1.8bn of
cash). Management expects the cash position to exceed $2bn by this
summer. This lack of debt is an important differentiator for STNG within the
tanker industry, largely insulating it from debt covenant and liquidity issues
in a cyclical downdraft and lowering its cost of capital (further reducing its
cash break-even levels).
• STNG has matched its financial flexibility with a disciplined approach to
new growth investment. Volatility in tanker rate cycles is unavoidable, but
tanker companies can run into significant challenges with capital allocation
decisions that run imprudently high leverage unable to withstand the full
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