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J.P. Morgan Municipal Morning Intelligence
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J.P. Morgan Municipal Morning Intelligence
J P M O R G A N Global Markets Strategy
08 July 2026
J.P. Morgan Municipal Morning
Intelligence
Long muni/Corp ratio nearing three-year tights (+2
sigma) as 30yr AA corp yields hit 3-year highs. Taxable
munis also at richest levels vs corps. 2yr exempts
similarly overvalued.
Securitized Products & Public
Finance Municipals Strategy
Peter DeGroot AC
(1-212) 834-7293
peter.degroot@jpmorgan.com
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Tax-Exempt Market Wrap
– Yesterday, the HG muni scale was cut by 1-2bps in the belly (7-12yr) and long
end (24yr+), with other tenors left unchanged, outperforming the 3-5bps rise in
UST rates, amidst continued muni fund inflows ($378mn), higher BWICs
($2.4bn), and manageable new issue ($2.5bn).
– Long-end muni/UST and muni/Corp ratios have declined for five consecutive
days, with the ratio versus Treasuries compressing to the lowest level since Feb 2025.
The 30yr muni/Corp ratio is near its richest level in three years, +2 sigma rich to
1-3year horizons, as 30yr AA corporate yields hit their 3-year highs. Similarly, 2yr
ratios hit 3-year lows versus both UST and corporate bond levels.
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